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2024-12-14 03:07:47

Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.On the 11th, the 10-year treasury bond futures fell by 0.09%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract 10-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by -0.09%, with a turnover of 65,600 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 4,068 lots. The total number of 10-year treasury bond futures contracts was 69,300 lots, a decrease of 26,600 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 176,000 lots, a decrease of 3,678 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 181,200 lots, a decrease of 713 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Bernstein: Raise the target price of American Airlines from $14 to $24, and upgrade its rating from "keep pace with the market" to "outperform the market".


Association: On December 1-8, the retail sales of 502,000 passenger cars increased by 32% compared with the same period in December last year. According to the data of Association, on December 1-8, the retail sales of 502,000 passenger cars increased by 32% compared with the same period in December last year and increased by 11% compared with the same period in last month. Since this year, the cumulative retail sales have reached 20.76 million, up by 5% year-on-year. From December 1 to 8, the national passenger car manufacturers wholesaled 565,000 vehicles, up 55% year-on-year and 6% year-on-year. Since the beginning of this year, 24.681 million vehicles have been wholesaled, up 6% year-on-year.The dividend low-wave ETF(512890) attracted 2.35 billion yuan in the last five days, with the latest scale of 10.8 billion yuan. On December 11th, the dividend low-wave ETF(512890) rose by 0.27%, with a turnover of 234 million yuan and the latest scale of 10.8 billion yuan. In terms of capital flow, it attracted 2.35 billion yuan in the last five days and 2.81 billion yuan in the last 10 days. In the news, recently, the dividend-themed ETFs have been reported frequently. The fund sizes of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend-themed ETFs in the whole market, exceeded 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. Huatai Bairui Fund said that on the one hand, this year's insurance funds frequently placarded, indicating that the pace of insurance funds entering the market has accelerated; On the other hand, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds has continued to decline and has entered the "1" era. Under the low interest rate environment, it has become inevitable that medium and long-term funds will increase the overall investment income by allocating equity assets. Investors can borrow the dividend low-wave ETF(512890) and its linked funds (Class A 007466, Class C 007467) layout.Market News: The Ukrainian military said that the attack on the Russian oil depot triggered a "fire".


Zhewen Internet: Zhejiang Internet (600986) announced on the evening of December 11th that the company intends to authorize the management of the company to make an independent decision to dispose of the stock of Doushen Education Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Doushen Education") held by the company through centralized bidding or block trading. The authorization period is within 36 months from the date of deliberation and approval by the shareholders' meeting. As of the date of announcement, the company holds 61.06 million shares of Doushen Education, accounting for 2.95% of the total share capital of Doushen Education, and will lift the restriction on sales on December 29, 2024.Tucker Carlson, a former Fox News host, is reported to have entered the paid content field. On December 11th, according to informed sources, Tucker Carlson will launch his own subscription streaming service. The former Fox News host officially entered the paid content field several months after he released the video on X. The service, called Tucker Carlson Network, is expected to go live on Monday, with a cost of $9 per month and $72 per year. Initially, it will only be available through Carlson's website. It is reported that Carlson and his team discussed launching Tucker Carlson Network through X, but X didn't act quickly enough to provide the technology they needed to operate the subscription service.Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. reorganized its top management: CFO will be transferred to China to take charge of operations, and Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is reorganizing its top management, hoping to introduce new talents and reverse the company's declining profits, increasing debts and lack of revenue-generating products. Makoto Uchida will continue to be the CEO of Nissan, while Jeremie Papin will be the CFO at the end of next year, and Christian Meunier will succeed Papin as the chairman of Nissan Americas. In addition, Stephen Ma, the company's chief financial officer, will be transferred to China to take charge of local business operations.

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